Sunday, April 26, 2009

What's Wrong With Jake Peavy

Jake Peavy's 5.13 ERA through four starts has some people wondering what's wrong with him. I can answer that for them - absolutely nothing is wrong with Jake Peavy! In fact, his strikeout and walk rates are identical to what they were in 2008 (K/9: 9.1, BB/9: 3.2) and his groundball rate has actually risen from last year. Peavy is a classic 'buy low' candidate right now. He's an elite starting pitcher, easily one of the top five in baseball. He's especially deadly in daily contests, where he's typically the highest ranked pitcher on the days when he's starting at home in pitcher-friendly San Diego. He tops my ranking for today's games, slightly ahead of Halladay and Harden.

On the hitting side, a number of teams including the Mets, Orioles, Dodgers, Rangers, and Phillies have good match-ups. The Dodgers have an interesting situation, where hitters capable of stealing bases have a particularly favorable situation due to the difficulty that Jason Marquis has holding runners on base.

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